One practical step
Problem SolvingRecord confidence before seeing the outcome
Write the predicted outcome and date.
- Time: Not specified
- Cost: Not specified
- Impact: Not specified
- Difficulty: Not specified
- Evidence not rated
Done when
Compare your forecast with what happened.
Write the predicted outcome and date.
Who this is for
For ordinary forecasts, not specialist risk assessment.
Why this matters
You can inspect the basis of your earlier confidence.
How to do it
An original activity to try, adapt or skip for your circumstances; outcomes are not guaranteed.
- Write the predicted outcome and date.
- Record confidence and reasons without later editing.
- Compare with the result and note misjudged information.
Evidence and references
There are no references for this item yet.
Last reviewed: · Version 2